Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.7#22
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#19
Pace71.2#86
Improvement+0.0#167

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#75
Improvement+3.9#26

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#7
Improvement-4.0#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 1.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 81.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round67.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen36.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight12.3% n/a n/a
Final Four4.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 79-67 96%     1 - 0 +3.6 -0.1 +3.3
  Nov 14, 2011 93   Central Florida W 73-50 84%     2 - 0 +25.0 +0.5 +24.3
  Nov 16, 2011 260   Stetson W 79-66 97%     3 - 0 +3.8 -0.8 +4.4
  Nov 20, 2011 205   South Alabama W 80-39 94%     4 - 0 +35.5 +2.8 +31.9
  Nov 24, 2011 78   Massachusetts W 73-53 73%     5 - 0 +26.4 -8.5 +31.3
  Nov 25, 2011 49   Harvard L 41-46 66%     5 - 1 +3.5 -22.4 +25.3
  Nov 26, 2011 36   Connecticut L 76-78 OT 59%     5 - 2 +8.4 +3.3 +5.3
  Nov 30, 2011 3   @ Michigan St. L 49-65 17%     5 - 3 +6.8 -7.3 +12.8
  Dec 05, 2011 184   Charleston Southern W 76-51 94%     6 - 3 +20.5 -5.7 +24.6
  Dec 11, 2011 284   UNC Greensboro W 75-60 97%     7 - 3 +4.5 -9.0 +12.2
  Dec 18, 2011 149   Loyola Marymount W 77-61 91%     8 - 3 +13.9 -0.8 +13.6
  Dec 22, 2011 16   @ Florida L 64-82 33%     8 - 4 -0.7 -5.6 +5.0
  Dec 30, 2011 99   Princeton L 73-75 3OT 85%     8 - 5 -0.5 -10.4 +10.2
  Jan 04, 2012 140   Auburn W 85-56 90%     9 - 5 +27.8 +9.9 +16.2
  Jan 07, 2012 82   @ Clemson L 59-79 63%     9 - 6 0 - 1 -10.6 -8.8 -1.7
  Jan 10, 2012 80   @ Virginia Tech W 63-59 62%     10 - 6 1 - 1 +13.5 -4.1 +17.7
  Jan 14, 2012 4   North Carolina W 90-57 40%     11 - 6 2 - 1 +48.2 +16.7 +28.7
  Jan 17, 2012 125   Maryland W 84-70 89%     12 - 6 3 - 1 +13.5 +11.6 +2.2
  Jan 21, 2012 15   @ Duke W 76-73 33%     13 - 6 4 - 1 +20.3 +10.6 +9.7
  Jan 25, 2012 195   @ Wake Forest W 75-52 85%     14 - 6 5 - 1 +24.6 +8.4 +18.1
  Feb 01, 2012 170   Georgia Tech W 68-54 93%     15 - 6 6 - 1 +10.4 -3.8 +14.2
  Feb 04, 2012 31   Virginia W 58-55 69%     16 - 6 7 - 1 +10.5 -2.8 +13.6
  Feb 08, 2012 252   @ Boston College L 60-64 91%     16 - 7 7 - 2 -6.0 -7.9 +1.7
  Feb 11, 2012 41   Miami (FL) W 64-59 74%     17 - 7 8 - 2 +11.0 -2.4 +13.8
  Feb 16, 2012 80   Virginia Tech W 48-47 82%     18 - 7 9 - 2 +3.7 -13.3 +17.2
  Feb 18, 2012 43   @ North Carolina St. W 76-62 51%     19 - 7 10 - 2 +26.4 +4.3 +21.5
  Feb 23, 2012 15   Duke L 66-74 58%     19 - 8 10 - 3 +2.5 -2.1 +4.3
  Feb 26, 2012 41   @ Miami (FL) L 62-78 49%     19 - 9 10 - 4 -3.2 -5.7 +2.5
  Mar 01, 2012 31   @ Virginia W 63-60 44%     20 - 9 11 - 4 +17.3 +7.5 +10.2
  Mar 04, 2012 82   Clemson W 80-72 83%     21 - 9 12 - 4 +10.6 +6.2 +4.0
  Mar 09, 2012 41   Miami (FL) W 82-71 62%     22 - 9 +20.4 +13.5 +7.1
  Mar 10, 2012 15   Duke W 62-59 45%     23 - 9 +16.9 -1.3 +18.4
  Mar 11, 2012 4   North Carolina W 85-82 28%     24 - 9 +21.6 +19.4 +2.1
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.0 1.3 32.1 48.5 17.3 0.8
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.8 0.0 1.3 32.1 48.5 17.3 0.8